Saturday, July 28, 2012

The Picket Project - False Truths: I'm Right, You're Wrong, Compromise is Impossible


American diversity provides us with hundreds of viable answers for solving the challenges we face. While both sides of the aisle could agree with many of these solutions, our political leaders are not hearing or discussing any of them. Instead, these politicians fall prey to believing that their solutions are the best, and everyone else is misguided. If we want to have true solutions discussed in Washington, we first need to understand why even well-meaning politicians can be unwilling to recognize the faults in their own agendas.

Tim Harford discusses a human complex, termed the God Complex, which states that no matter how complicated the problem, we will often have an overwhelming belief that our solution is infallibly right. Harford argues the downfalls of the God Complex and his belief that we need to abandon it in light of a problem solving technique that actually works.
I see the God complex around me all the time in my fellow economists. I see it in our business leaders. I see it in the politicians we vote for — people who, in the face of an incredibly complicated world, are nevertheless absolutely convinced that they understand the way that the world works.
The God Complex offers an explanation for why politicians, like all people, can become adamantly adverse to a compromise in their position. They believe that whatever solution they have come to is the only correct course of action. It also explains why bad solutions can seem good, and seemingly good solutions can often have very bad consequences.



This complex has roots in the mental models we create for ourselves based on the experiences we have had and the limited knowledge we have learned over the course of our lives. These models aid in answering complex questions quickly, which often serves us well. However, the creation of these mental models can sometimes constrain us and lead us to believe in false truths. Like a magician doing a trick on the street, our experiences can sometimes keep us from seeing what is right in front of our eyes.

When a particular solution seems to fit perfectly into the models we have created for ourselves – its justification sometimes seems insurmountable. However, since we each live a very different life, it is no surprise that sometimes we turn up with very different mental models of how the world works. Each of our different experiences can lead us to different insights on a problem, not all of which are compatible.

These insights form the basis of the democratic philosophy, where the combined experiences of a population are used to vote on the representative that best fits the narrative they hold about how the government should work. When conflicting narratives create contradictory solutions – recognition on why this has happened is critical to creating beneficial compromises. But our implementation of this cornerstone of a Republic has shown itself to be less than perfect.

Too many of our politicians have fallen prey to the God Complex and a deeply polarized government has arisen. Conservative and liberal mindsets compete for popular opinion. While this competition could create middle ground solutions, the God Complex has gotten so out of hand, compromise has become impossible. An environment has developed where each side of the isle believes that their solutions are the only real solutions, and anyone who opposes them is doing so with selfish intentions.

The time has come to bridge the divide in our country. The only way to do this is to break through the delusions of omniscience which have gripped our politicians and many of our fellow citizens. We at the Picket Project will work towards challenging oversimplified interpretations in order to show the full complexity of the world we live in. It is in this complexity that we will see where ideological models conflict, and where they can be modified to better fit reality.

As always, we look forward to hearing your opinions; we will be regularly updating our content based on the conversations started here through the comment system on the blog, our Facebook page, and Twitter using the #PicketProject hashtag.

Links:

Friday, July 27, 2012

Tearing Down Fences With The Picket Project

Having been a blogger for many years I've had a lot of requests come my way.  Most often from someone who wants to write a post.  Usually about a totally inappropriate subject which tells me they've never really read my blog.

Others have been fun.  Interviews with mainstream media, requests to review a book now and then or when we had Bacchus to test dog related products.

I have never been asked to share someone elses content.  Until now.  I was contacted by a fellow blogger at  The Jefferson Tree , to which I am a contributor,  about a project for which additional exposure is being sought.  The Picket Project  is devoted to identifying and exploring solutions for political and social issues.

As you know this is an area of great interest to me.  I like the content and am interested in seeing how it develops.  It strikes me as being an online think tank for the concerned citizen.  You know, those of us who live in the real world and just might have some ideas worth exploring and supporting.

So I'm going to jump off the fence and take the plunge.  I am going to devote Saturdays for a time to a series of posts from The Picket Project.

Let me know if you find them of interest and if you do let them know too!  It never hurts to broaden ones horizons and the Picket Project provides that opportunity to a much greater extent than bloggers such as myself who mostly point out issues and state an opinion with little more.

Tomorrow will be an effort to not be fenced in by my own limitations by sharing with you some great insight.  My own pithy commentary will return Sunday or Monday.

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Does Anyone Have A Clue ?

It seems to me there is something drastically wrong with the system when Vice Presidential candidates cause more excitement than do the Presidential candidates.  Lately this has been a Republican problem - a huge Republican problem.

One time it might have been a fluke.  We will probably never know what made John McCain choose Sarah Palin over far more qualified candidates.

Now we wait with baited breath.  Well, at least we wait, to see who another uninspiring Republican candidate is going to choose.

It is so frustrating to have no faith in the party of my choice.  I have readers who will vote for Obama for that very reason.  I can't.  I can't vote for a man who is diametrically opposed to what I think of as my America.  Yet I have no reason to vote for Mitt Romney either. He's just another face on a politician with no vision, at least he hasn't articulated one, who has surrounded himself with old cronies who haven't a fresh idea among them.  

Some of the VP potentials could add some pizazz to the ticket without the flakiness of a Palin.  Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Paul Ryan - even John Thune at least have some personality.  Actually many of them would be the better candidate for President and I may never find it within myself to forgive them for not running when we need them most.  They've abdicated to a man who wants to be President yet brings nothing to the table other than that desire.  

As for his ticket,  some suggest dull and boring might be a saving grace after the rock star mania we've had with Palin and Obama.  Only if dull and boring resonate.  What are the chances of that?

Drill down a layer to Congress and we have the same problem. Ideology rules.  Threats rule.
Members of both houses seem to be absent convictions for anything other than retaining their seats.

It has gotten to a point where something other than merely voting is needed.  But what?  There have been attempts at third parties.  This will take time.  Wooing viable people away from the established parties won't be easy.

Every candidate who comes along promises to change the culture of Washington yet none succeed if indeed they even try.  So what do we do?  I'd really like to know if any of you have any thoughts on the subject.  Enough of us write, complain and opine to fill volumes yet there is never any change.  How do we harness all that energy into something meaningful? Can it be done or are we doomed to stew in our own juices?




Sunday, July 22, 2012

Sheep And Sheep Herders

I've thought for some time we've become a nation of sheep blissfully following the siren call of our herders.

 Democrats follow Democrats because they are Democrats.  Republicans do exactly the same. For no other reason.  We've lost our willingness to consider another point of view and are content with sound bite dictums.  It's sad.

I'm seeing that it goes far beyond politics.  Consider the recent Tony Robbins event in San Jose attended by thousands.  Robbins is a motivational speaker - of sorts.  This particular gathering was to learn how to "Unleash the Power Within" so he had a firewalking party.

Firewalking?  On coals in 10 x 2.5 foot paths heated between 1200 to 2000 degrees F.  Why would anyone in his right mind do it?  To prove mind over matter?

Remember when you were a youngster and argued with your parents with a lame, "...but everyone's doing it!"  And they'd answer, "If everyone was jumping off a cliff would you do it?"  Today perhaps you would!

Politicians have learned how to manipulate people with their power.  So have motivational speakers yet they do no more than we could do for ourselves if we'd open ourselves to thinking!  


Maybe even worse than those who herd us along are those who stand by and watch.  There were emergency personnel standing by at the event and they had an open fire permit, whatever that is.  There was even a fire inspector in attendance to make sure a fire didn't get away from them.

The only thing that took leave was their sense.  Apparently they did everything required by law except use that sense.  Including the fire department who disclaimed recommending it by saying, "We discourage people from walking over hot coals," and stood by and watched while participants inflicted themselves with second and third degree burns.

In politics we know who the sheep are and the herders.  Who represents the onlookers?  The independents?  The media?  The answer, I suppose, depends on how you vote and why.



Saturday, July 21, 2012

I'm Not The Only Relic In The House!

This is one of my favorite places in our home.  It's the reading table beside my chair in the den.  It's usually overflowing with newspapers and magazines until Hub reminds me it might be time to catch up on my reading while it's still current. It's where I start my day with my morning coffee.

It seems it is going to become less and less cluttered in the not too distant future.  We just received notice that one of our long time subscriptions was going digital, the issue to which this notice was attached will be the last one in print.  Wow!  Reality is beginning to sink in.

It occurred to me how things creep up on us.  Sure, everyone knows about Kindles and Nooks and iPads, etc.  Will they replace books and newspapers and magazines?  You bet.  This notice is proof positive and I don't like it one bit!

The particular magazine was one of my favorite 'tuck in the side pocket of my purse' periodicals.  I always had it with me when I knew I'd have a wait some place.  You can do that with electronic devices too but it's not the same.  You can't leave it behind to share if you're finished with it for one thing. Or toss it out or be at a huge loss if you misplace it.

So magazines are now joining the ranks of relics.  Collectibles.  I have a couple that already are.  Issues of Cosmopolitan from years back when they produced centerfolds of men - John Davidson and Burt Reynolds in particular.  I saved them thinking they may someday have some value.  Do they?  I haven't a clue.  I'm not even sure which box of keepsakes they may be in.  Perhaps it's time to check!

Remember how we used to save newspapers reporting important events?  The end of a war or "Dewey Wins!" type of thing.  Man landing on the moon.  Are they worth the space they take up anymore?  Is it all digitized and available with a Google search?  Probably.  But it's not the same.

I will resist getting a Kindle.  I will not pay to download a PDF of this magazine.  I will not watch a TV program or a full length movie on a smart phone or my computer.  Speaking of relics, how long until my computer becomes one?

Some will argue its progress and inevitable.  I suppose, but I'm an advocate of it ain't broke don't fix it and as far as I'm concerned newspapers and magazines and books ain't broke.

The problem they have is quality.  Advertisers don't advertise because they don't get enough bang for their buck because people no longer subscribe because the content is so poor they don't get enough bang for their buck either.  It's a circle to be sure but one that can be broken by good management.

This aging process is interesting.  How often Hub and I look at one another and exclaim that we're dinosaurs. We no longer see things in the same light as the younger generations.  Even worse I suppose is that we don't want to.  We just want to have our coffee with our papers and magazines and books without thinking about saving them for future generations as relics of life long past. At least we're in good company. Relics all.  I just never thought I'd see the day when printed reading material is no more than nostalgia.